When pundits look at President Obama's two-year poll numbers - compared to Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton - they can feel Obama has a good chance at re-election also.
They forget an advantage Reagan and Clinton had - the Summer Olympics in the United States right before the election season.
Surely, you remember the pride of the U.S. winning so many medals in Los Angeles in 1984. It's morning in America, right there on the sports pages.
I remember watching the opening ceremonies in Atlanta in 1996, and thinking it would give Clinton a boost. You feel good about your country when the Olympics come, and the president basks in some of the glow.
Why do you think the Obama administration fought so hard for the 2016 Olympics to be in Chicago? He could close out his term with a patriotic boost for his chosen successor.
Unfortunately for that plan, the 2012 Summer Olympics are in London. The United States will do well, but Obama won't be the leader of the host country.