Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Time to get cracking

A new poll shows Ken Cuccinelli six points behind Terry McAuliffe in the governor's race.
Doesn't seem possible if you've seen McAuliffe in action.
Doesn't seem like a likely electorate to the people at Bearing Drift.
Even Blue Virginia has questions.
INDEED, if you presume that the 2009 turnout model will prevail again, then the Q-Poll would have Cuccinelli up by 4 percentage points with the same numbers.
INDEED # 2, IF YOU STUDY THE Q-Poll, the normal markers of a VA GUV race make it a DEAD EVEN RACE. Why?
The normative turnout on election day would not be either +7 Democrat or + 4 Republican. It would be closer to +2 give or take depending on what happens in the last month of the campaign.
Whatever the numbers, time to get on the Cuccinelli bandwagon.

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