Obama Trails Romney, Huckabee, Gingrich, Ties Palin. No, Really.
I like Campaign Spot's look at the latest polling numbers.
I suspect Obama’s 2012 standing will be more similar to his standing in 2010 than to 2008′s euphoria. Obama’s 2008 bid and his early popularity were based on what he would do, on promises, on a vision, on potential. His standing today is based on what he has done as president. The perception of Obama won’t change until the reality of what Obama is delivering changes.
In light of this, if Obama delivers a circumstance where Americans feel good about the state of the country, he’ll probably beat any of the above names. If he doesn’t, he’ll probably lose to any of them, even Jan Brewer.