Tuesday night and Wednesday morning, NBC's Chuck Todd has the same thought - the Republican house majority will be smaller than the current Democratic majority.
The message behind the thought - if Democrats had trouble getting their agenda passed, then the new Republicans would too.
Instead, the likely scenario comes from Fred Barnes.
Ten Democrats whose seats are up in 2012 come from right-leaning states or saw their states scoot to the right this week: Ben Nelson of Nebraska, Bill Nelson of Florida, Herb Kohl of Wisconsin, Kent Conrad of North Dakota, Claire McCaskill of Missouri, Jim Webb of Virginia, Bob Casey of Pennsylvania, Debbie Stabenow of Michigan, Jon Tester of Montana, and Jeff Bingaman of New Mexico.
It’s a good bet that some or all of them will be sympathetic to cutting spending, extending the Bush tax cuts, scaling back ObamaCare, and supporting other parts of the Republican agenda. With Democratic allies, Republicans will have operational control of the Senate more often than Majority Leader Harry Reid and Mr. Obama will.
Democrats needed a party line vote to get their agenda passed. Since Republicans have the momentum and ideas that are attractive to many Democratic voters, Republicans have more margin for error.
That's the error in Todd's thinking.
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